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Inferential Statistics


๐Ÿงช What is Inferential Statistics?

Inferential statistics helps you make predictions or generalizations about a larger population based on a sample of data.

It answers the question:

"What can we infer about the population from this sample?"

๐Ÿ”‘ Key Concepts:

  • Population vs. Sample:
    • Population = the whole group you're interested in.
    • Sample = a smaller, manageable subset of the population.
  • Estimation:
    • Using sample data to estimate population parameters (e.g. mean, proportion).
  • Hypothesis Testing:
    • Testing assumptions (null vs. alternative hypothesis) to make conclusions.
  • Confidence Intervals:
    • Range within which we believe the true population value lies, with a certain level of confidence (e.g., 95%).
  • P-value:
    • Tells you the probability that the observed result is due to chance.

๐Ÿง  Real-World Examples:

  • Politics: Predicting election results based on polls.
  • Marketing: Testing if a new ad campaign performs better than the old one.
  • Medicine: Determining if a new drug is more effective than the current treatment.
  • Education: Using student samples to infer how all students are performing.

๐Ÿ†š Descriptive vs. Inferential:

Type Purpose Example
Descriptive Stats Summarize data "The average test score was 82."
Inferential Stats Make predictions or decisions "We're 95% confident the average test score for all students is between 80 and 84."

Would you like a simple example problem to see how inferential stats works in action?